SimpleFunctions

CF Monterrey wins 1-0 · Will the final score

CF Monterrey wins 1-0 is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside Will the final score.

Price history

4¢ current

+1¢
0¢5¢10¢
Jul 17, 2026Jul 23, 2026

Contract brief

If CF Monterrey wins 1-0 in the Club Necaxa vs CF Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

CF Monterrey wins 1-0

Rank

#2 of 9

Leader

CF Monterrey wins 2-0 8¢

Range

1¢-8¢

Family volume

$225

Identifier

KXLIGAMXSCORE-26JUL26NCXMON-NCX0MON1

Jul 23, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

Ask

13¢

Spread

Reported volume

$299

Family rank

#2 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the final score

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Family volume

$225

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 13¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
7¢5
6¢12
5¢2
4¢2
3¢1
AskSize
13¢95
44¢192
45¢83
46¢246
47¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If CF Monterrey wins 1-0 in the Club Necaxa vs CF Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Identifier

KXLIGAMXSCORE-26JUL26NCXMON-NCX0MON1

SF Signal
SF Index
27953.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

27953.0%

IY (No)

158.4%

Adj IY

27953%

CRI

13

RV

12888%

VR

3.38

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

27953.0%
158.4%
Adj IY
27953%
13
RV
12888%
VR
3.38
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.