Golden State Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season
40+ wins is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will the Golden State Pro Basketball team win at least.
Price history
53¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the Golden State Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
40+ wins
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
15+ wins 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNBAWINS-27GSW-40
Sep 17, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$8K
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the Golden State Pro Basketball team win at least
Closes
May 8, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Golden State Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2027
Identifier
KXNBAWINS-27GSW-40
Event family
Will the Golden State Pro Basketball team win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
15+ wins 94¢
Current share
—
15+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-15
20+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-20
25+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-25
30+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-30
35+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-35
40+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-40
45+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-45
50+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-50
55+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27GSW-55
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.