94° to 95° · Will the high temp in Miami
94° to 95° is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the high temp in Miami.
Price history
38¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 94-95°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
94° to 95°
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
92° to 93° 47¢
Range
1¢-47¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-B94.5
Jul 12, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$814
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in Miami
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 94-95°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 13, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-B94.5
Event family
Will the high temp in Miami.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
92° to 93° 47¢
Current share
11%
92° to 93°
kalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-B92.5
94° to 95°
kalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-B94.5
90° to 91°
kalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-B90.5
96° to 97°
kalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-B96.5
89° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-T90
98° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL12-T97
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 38% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.