SimpleFunctions

Houston Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season

30+ wins is priced at 93¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will the Houston Pro Basketball team win at least.

Price history

93¢ current

+4¢
80¢90¢
Jul 14, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Contract brief

If the Houston Pro Basketball team wins at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

30+ wins

Rank

#3 of 9

Leader

20+ wins 89¢

Range

1¢-89¢

Family volume

$10

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27HOU-30

Jul 26, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

93¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 26, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

87¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

11¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the Houston Pro Basketball team win at least

Closes

May 8, 2027

Family volume

$10

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 98¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
87¢100
85¢100
82¢10
78¢50
74¢100
AskSize
98¢5
99¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Houston Pro Basketball team wins at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27HOU-30

SF Signal
SF Index
853.67
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

19.1%

IY (No)

853.7%

Adj IY

854%

CRI

7

RV

87%

VR

1.98

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19.1%
853.7%
Adj IY
854%
7
RV
87%
VR
1.98
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
3.9%

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SimpleFunctions context

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.