IBOVESPA at least 174,000 in June 2026
At least 174,000 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 93¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 9 inside Will the IBOVESPA be at least 1.
Price history
20¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least 174,000 in from Jun 17, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 174,000
Rank
#5 of 9
Leader
At least 176,000 24¢
Range
2¢-24¢
Family volume
$117
Identifier
KXIBOV-26JUN30-174000
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
93¢
Reported volume
$434
Family rank
#5 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the IBOVESPA be at least 1
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$117
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least 174,000 in from Jun 17, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXIBOV-26JUN30-174000
Event family
Will the IBOVESPA be at least 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$117
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least 176,000 24¢
Current share
0%
At least 176,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-176000
At least 178,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-178000
At least 179,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-179000
At least 172,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-172000
At least 177,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-177000
At least 173,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-173000
At least 174,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-174000
At least 175,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-175000
At least 180,000
kalshi · KXIBOV-26JUN30-180000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.