Lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's above $500000 during the live auction beginning July 01, 2026 at 10:00 EDT
Above $500K is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will the lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's be above $.
Price history
72¢ current
+70¢Contract brief
If the lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's is above $500K during the live auction beginning July 01, 2026 at 10:00 EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $500K
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
Above $500K 70¢
Range
12¢-70¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXART-DER26-500000
Jun 25, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$93
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · Will the lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's be above $
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's is above $500K during the live auction beginning July 01, 2026 at 10:00 EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXART-DER26-500000
Event family
Will the lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above $500K 70¢
Current share
6%
Above $500K
kalshi · KXART-DER26-500000
Above $600K
kalshi · KXART-DER26-600000
Above $800K
kalshi · KXART-DER26-800000
Above $1M
kalshi · KXART-DER26-1000000
Above $900K
kalshi · KXART-DER26-900000
Above $700K
kalshi · KXART-DER26-700000
Above $1.1M
kalshi · KXART-DER26-1100000
Above $1.2M
kalshi · KXART-DER26-1200000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 72% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.