Above 7650 · Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7
Above 7650 is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 13 inside Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7.
Price history
31¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jun 1, 2026 and ending on Jun 30, 2026 is above 7650, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 7650
Rank
#3 of 13
Leader
Above 7630 40¢
Range
6¢-40¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7650
Jun 22, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$159
Family rank
#3 of 13
13 outcomes · Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jun 1, 2026 and ending on Jun 30, 2026 is above 7650, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7650
Event family
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Above 7630 40¢
Current share
3%
Above 7630
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7630
Above 7640
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7640
Above 7650
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7650
Above 7660
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7660
Above 7670
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7670
Above 7680
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7680
Above 7710
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7710
Above 7700
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7700
Above 7690
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7690
Above 7720
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7720
Above 7740
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7740
Above 7730
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7730
Above 7750
kalshi · KXINXMAXMM-30JUN2026-7750
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.