107° to 108° · Will the maximum temperature
107° to 108° is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the maximum temperature.
Price history
14¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jun 25, 2026, is between 107-108° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
107° to 108°
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
105° to 106° 59¢
Range
1¢-59¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-B107.5
Jun 24, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$164
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the maximum temperature
Closes
Jun 26, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the maximum temperature recorded at Las Vegas for Jun 25, 2026, is between 107-108° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 26, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-B107.5
Event family
Will the maximum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
105° to 106° 59¢
Current share
8%
105° to 106°
kalshi · KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-B105.5
103° to 104°
kalshi · KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-B103.5
107° to 108°
kalshi · KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-B107.5
102° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-T103
111° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-T110
109° to 110°
kalshi · KXHIGHTLV-26JUN25-B109.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 14% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.