SimpleFunctions

Miami Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season

35+ wins is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside Will the Miami Pro Basketball team win at least.

Price history

86¢ current

1¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 21, 2026Aug 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the Miami Pro Basketball team wins at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

35+ wins

Rank

#4 of 9

Leader

25+ wins 93¢

Range

5¢-93¢

Family volume

$59

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27MIA-35

Aug 19, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 31m ago

Implied probability

86¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 19, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 31m ago

Bid

83¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$78

Family rank

#4 of 9

9 outcomes · Will the Miami Pro Basketball team win at least

Closes

May 8, 2027

Family volume

$59

Orderbook snapshot

83 / 97¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
83¢250
82¢250
81¢250
73¢10
69¢50
AskSize
97¢255
98¢250
99¢275

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Miami Pro Basketball team wins at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27MIA-35

SF Signal
SF Index
340.31
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

28.6%

IY (No)

680.6%

Adj IY

340%

CRI

5

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

28.6%
680.6%
Adj IY
340%
5
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.