SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 above $1.00 in September 2026

Above $1.00 is priced at 62¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

Price history

62¢ current

+59¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.00

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 96¢

Range

27¢-96¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXA100MS-26SEP-1.000

Jul 2, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 47m ago

Implied probability

62¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 2, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 47m ago

Bid

61¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 62¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
61¢110
57¢406
56¢534
39¢200
2¢52
AskSize
62¢162
83¢150
99¢11K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1 in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Identifier

KXA100MS-26SEP-1.000

SF Signal
SF Index
536.46
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 96¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

257.2%

IY (No)

629.3%

Adj IY

536%

CRI

2

RV

2440%

VR

10.20

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

257.2%
629.3%
Adj IY
536%
2
RV
2440%
VR
10.20
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
2.6%
LAS
0.15

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.