SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 above $1.75 in April 2027

Above $1.75 is priced at 26¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

Price history

26¢ current

+24¢
0¢25¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.75 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.75

Rank

#6 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 82¢

Range

16¢-82¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXA100MS-27APR-1.750

Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#6 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $

Closes

May 1, 2027

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 26¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
25¢30
24¢96
23¢28
AskSize
26¢60
27¢25
29¢125
98¢43
99¢6.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $1.75 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 1, 2027

Identifier

KXA100MS-27APR-1.750

SF Signal
SF Index
334.13
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 82¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

381.9%

IY (No)

38.1%

Adj IY

334%

CRI

3

RV

1098%

VR

1.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

381.9%
38.1%
Adj IY
334%
3
RV
1098%
VR
1.00
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
2.0%
LAS
0.13

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.