SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 above $2.00 in February 2027

Above $2.00 is priced at 28¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

Price history

28¢ current

+26¢
0¢25¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $2 in February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#7 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 84¢

Range

27¢-84¢

Family volume

$281

Identifier

KXA100MS-27FEB-2.000

Jul 2, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 2, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

27¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#7 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Family volume

$281

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 28¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
27¢2.0K
2¢54
AskSize
28¢665
30¢250
98¢51
99¢6.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $2 in February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Identifier

KXA100MS-27FEB-2.000

SF Signal
SF Index
408.72
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$281

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 84¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

408.7%

IY (No)

55.9%

Adj IY

409%

CRI

3

RV

1297%

VR

0.96

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

408.7%
55.9%
Adj IY
409%
3
RV
1297%
VR
0.96
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
2.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.