Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 above $2.00 in January 2027
Above $2.00 is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 93¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $2 in January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $2.00
Rank
#7 of 7
Leader
Above $0.50 90¢
Range
5¢-90¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXA100MS-27JAN-2.000
Jul 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
93¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#7 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the average value of NVIDIA A100 compute per hour is above $2 in January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Identifier
KXA100MS-27JAN-2.000
Event family
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $0.50 90¢
Current share
100%
Above $0.50
kalshi · KXA100MS-27JAN-0.500
Above $0.75
kalshi · KXA100MS-27JAN-0.750
Above $1.00
kalshi · KXA100MS-27JAN-1.000
Above $1.25
kalshi · KXA100MS-27JAN-1.250
Above $1.50
kalshi · KXA100MS-27JAN-1.500
Above $1.75
kalshi · KXA100MS-27JAN-1.750
Above $2.00
kalshi · KXA100MS-27JAN-2.000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.