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Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $4.00 in August 2027

Above $4.00 is priced at 75¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 15 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

75¢ current

+6¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 2, 2026Aug 20, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $4.00

Rank

#5 of 15

Leader

Above $2.00 87¢

Range

28¢-87¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXB200MS-27AUG-4.000

Aug 22, 2026, 9:09 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

75¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 22, 2026, 9:09 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

73¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 15

15 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

73 / 77¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
73¢125
72¢525
3¢53
2¢14K
AskSize
77¢360
78¢100
82¢200
97¢49
98¢12K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in August 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27AUG-4.000

SF Signal
SF Index
131.83
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

36.1%

IY (No)

263.7%

Adj IY

132%

CRI

3

Overround

7.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

36.1%
263.7%
Adj IY
132%
3
Overround
7.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.