Natural gas close price above 2.899 USD/MMBtu on July 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
above $2.899 is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Will the natural gas close price be above.
Price history
54¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.899 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
above $2.899
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
above $1.999 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$24K
Identifier
KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T2.899
Jul 14, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$283
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the natural gas close price be above
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Family volume
$24K
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.899 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Identifier
KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T2.899
Event family
Will the natural gas close price be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$24K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
above $1.999 99¢
Current share
1%
above $1.999
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T1.999
above $0.999
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T0.999
above $1.099
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T1.099
above $1.199
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T1.199
above $1.299
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T1.299
above $1.399
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T1.399
above $2.699
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T2.699
above $2.799
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T2.799
above $2.899
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T2.899
above $2.999
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T2.999
above $3.099
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T3.099
above $3.199
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T3.199
above $4.099
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T4.099
above $3.999
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T3.999
above $3.299
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T3.299
above $3.899
kalshi · KXNATGASW-26JUL1717-T3.899
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.