SimpleFunctions

NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $0.3 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18

Above $0.30 is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

97¢ current

+2¢
95¢100¢
Aug 7, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.3 on Sep 18, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.30

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Above $0.15 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$647

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26SEP18-0.300

Aug 10, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 10, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

96¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

Reported volume

$200

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Sep 18, 2026

Family volume

$647

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 97¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.0K
96¢732
20¢3
2¢47
AskSize
97¢200
98¢200
99¢1.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.3 on Sep 18, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 18, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090WS-26SEP18-0.300

SF Signal
SF Index
11262.54
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

39.1%

IY (No)

22525.1%

Adj IY

11263%

CRI

24

Overround

3.5%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

39.1%
22525.1%
Adj IY
11263%
24
Overround
3.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.