SimpleFunctions

Philadelphia Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season

30+ wins is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside Will the Philadelphia Pro Basketball team win at least.

Price history

97¢ current

+27¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 7, 2026Jul 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the Philadelphia Pro Basketball team wins at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

30+ wins

Rank

#3 of 10

Leader

20+ wins 93¢

Range

2¢-93¢

Family volume

$20K

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27PHI-30

Jul 24, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 24, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

24h volume

$10

Family rank

#3 of 10

10 outcomes · Will the Philadelphia Pro Basketball team win at least

Closes

May 8, 2027

Family volume

$20K

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 97¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
92¢10
91¢150
90¢400
87¢1
83¢2
AskSize
97¢5
98¢50
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Philadelphia Pro Basketball team wins at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27PHI-30

SF Signal
SF Index
689.88
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11.0%

IY (No)

1459.0%

Adj IY

690%

CRI

12

Overround

5.2%

LAS

0.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11.0%
1459.0%
Adj IY
690%
12
Overround
5.2%
LAS
0.05

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.