The Pitt · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27
The Pitt is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27.
Price history
15¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If The Pitt is the #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Tv Shows list in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
The Pitt
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
His & Hers 7¢
Range
1¢-7¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-PIT
Aug 7, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 54m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$83
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Pitt is the #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Tv Shows list in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-PIT
Event family
KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
6
Highest price
His & Hers 7¢
Current share
—
His & Hers
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-HIS
The Pitt
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-PIT
Stranger Things
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-STR
Survivor
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-SUR
Bridgerton
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-BRID
Landman & The Madison
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-TVS27-LAN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 15% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.