SimpleFunctions

Will the Portland Trailblazers be bought and become the Seattle SuperSonics

Will the Portland Trailblazers be bought and become the Seattle SuperSonics is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

12¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
May 31, 2026May 31, 2026

Contract brief

If the Portland Trailblazers are sold, move to Seattle, and are renamed the SuperSonics before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will the Portland Trailblazers be bought and become the Seattle SuperSonics

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$11K

Identifier

KXSONICS-30

Jun 27, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 27, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

Ask

12¢

Spread

Reported volume

$11K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jan 1, 2030

Family volume

$11K

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 12¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.5K
7¢93
4¢1.1K
2¢1.5K
AskSize
12¢117
14¢1.0K
16¢1.0K
30¢1
87¢4.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Portland Trailblazers are sold, move to Seattle, and are renamed the SuperSonics before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2030

Identifier

KXSONICS-30

SF Signal
SF Index
188.92
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$11K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the Portland Trailblazers be bought and become the Seattle SuperSonics 12¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.364

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

377.8%
2.1%
Adj IY
189%
13

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.