Before Jan 20, 2029 · Will the President of the United States visit Greenland before Jan
Before Jan 20, 2029 is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will the President of the United States visit Greenland before Jan.
Price history
46¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the President of the United States has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Greenland before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 20, 2029
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 20, 2029 40¢
Range
9¢-40¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXVISITGREENLAND-26JUL07-29JAN20
Aug 7, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 53m ago
Implied probability
Bid
40¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$28
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will the President of the United States visit Greenland before Jan
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
40 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the President of the United States has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Greenland before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXVISITGREENLAND-26JUL07-29JAN20
Event family
Will the President of the United States visit Greenland before Jan.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 20, 2029 40¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.