Republican party · KXPRESPARTY-2032
Republican party is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXPRESPARTY-2032.
Price history
55¢ current
Contract brief
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Republican party
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Republican party 43¢
Range
43¢-43¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXPRESPARTY-2032-R
Jun 25, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
12¢
Reported volume
$48
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXPRESPARTY-2032
Closes
Nov 2, 2033
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 2, 2033
Identifier
KXPRESPARTY-2032-R
Event family
KXPRESPARTY-2032.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Republican party 43¢
Current share
—
Republican party
kalshi · KXPRESPARTY-2032-R
Democratic party
kalshi · KXPRESPARTY-2032-D
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.