Sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals above 175000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026
Above 175 million is priced at 18¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 1.
Price history
18¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 175 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 175 million
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
Above 180 million 19¢
Range
2¢-19¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A175000000
Sep 20, 2026, 1:51 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
32¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 1
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 175 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A175000000
Event family
Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 180 million 19¢
Current share
—
Above 180 million
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A180000000
Above 185 million
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A185000000
Above 190 million
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A190000000
Above 175 million
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A175000000
Above 170 million
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A170000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.