Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Jason Wolford in Wolford v. Lopez: Before 2026 · KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Jason Wolford in Wolford v. Lopez: Before 2026 is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
91¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If the Supreme Court, in Wolford v. Lopez, rules Hawaii may not presumptively prohibit licensed concealed-carry permit holders from carrying handguns on private property open to the public unless the property owner affirmatively gives express permission, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Jason Wolford in Wolford v. Lopez: Before 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$42
Identifier
KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$42
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$42
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Supreme Court, in Wolford v. Lopez, rules Hawaii may not presumptively prohibit licensed concealed-carry permit holders from carrying handguns on private property open to the public unless the property owner affirmatively gives express permission, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG
Event family
KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$42
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Jason Wolford in Wolford v. Lopez: Before 2026 90¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.