Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto Company in Monsanto Company v. Durnell: Before 2026 · KXMONSANTODURNELL-26AUG
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto Company in Monsanto Company v. Durnell: Before 2026 is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
83¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Company v. Durnell, rules that FIFRA preempts label-based failure-to-warn claims where EPA has not required the warning, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto Company in Monsanto Company v. Durnell: Before 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$184
Identifier
KXMONSANTODURNELL-26AUG
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
78¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$184
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$184
Orderbook snapshot
78 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Company v. Durnell, rules that FIFRA preempts label-based failure-to-warn claims where EPA has not required the warning, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXMONSANTODURNELL-26AUG
Event family
KXMONSANTODURNELL-26AUG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$184
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto Company in Monsanto Company v. Durnell: Before 2026 78¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.