SimpleFunctions

“This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, for June 26, 2026 above 2.00

Above $2.00 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will the “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, for June 26, 2026 be above.

Price history

7¢ current

+5¢
0¢5¢10¢
Jun 20, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If the “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, as reported in the USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Specialty Crops Feature Activity report published on June 26, 2026 is above $2.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#5 of 7

Leader

Above $0.80 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXAMSAVO-26JUN26-T2.00

Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$15

Family rank

#5 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, for June 26, 2026 be above

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 3¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
3¢10
4¢66
99¢69

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, as reported in the USDA AMS Weekly Grocery Store Specialty Crops Feature Activity report published on June 26, 2026 is above $2.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXAMSAVO-26JUN26-T2.00

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, for June 26, 2026 be above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.80 94¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

13

Overround

1.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

13
Overround
1.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.