Toronto Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season
40+ wins is priced at 78¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 9 inside Will the Toronto Pro Basketball team win at least.
Price history
78¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If the Toronto Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
40+ wins
Rank
#5 of 9
Leader
20+ wins 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNBAWINS-27TOR-40
Aug 27, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#5 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the Toronto Pro Basketball team win at least
Closes
May 8, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Toronto Pro Basketball team wins at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2027
Identifier
KXNBAWINS-27TOR-40
Event family
Will the Toronto Pro Basketball team win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
20+ wins 94¢
Current share
—
20+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-20
25+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-25
30+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-30
35+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-35
40+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-40
45+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-45
50+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-50
55+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-55
60+ wins
kalshi · KXNBAWINS-27TOR-60
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.