Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%?
Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%?. This contract trades at 15¢ on Kalshi, closing December 4, 2026.
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15¢Bid/Ask 14/15¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $6.31·OI $1,311.96·Closes Dec 4, 2026·218d remaining
KXYOUTHUN-26DEC04-T7.5
7-day price44 snapshots · 60 regime
29¢14¢ current
Apr 215¢Apr 28
Resolution rules
If, in any of the remaining Employment Situation releases published after Issuance in calendar year 2026, the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24, seasonally adjusted, is below 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.568
Computed
4/30/2026, 7:33:46 AM
Observability highEvent type data_release
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 7:38:56 AM
Trade
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sf trade KXYOUTHUN-26DEC04-T7.5 yes 100