SimpleFunctions

Washington Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season

35+ wins is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 10 inside Will the Washington Pro Basketball team win at least.

Price history

36¢ current

+24¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jul 8, 2026Jul 30, 2026

Contract brief

If the Washington Pro Basketball team wins at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

35+ wins

Rank

#5 of 10

Leader

15+ wins 91¢

Range

3¢-91¢

Family volume

$522

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27WAS-35

Jul 30, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 30, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

48¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#5 of 10

10 outcomes · Will the Washington Pro Basketball team win at least

Closes

May 8, 2027

Family volume

$522

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 48¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
34¢5
33¢50
32¢500
30¢1.0K
18¢90
AskSize
48¢5
49¢7.6K
50¢5.0K
56¢400
57¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Washington Pro Basketball team wins at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNBAWINS-27WAS-35

SF Signal
SF Index
144.40
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

240.7%

IY (No)

69.8%

Adj IY

144%

CRI

2

RV

617%

VR

4.34

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

240.7%
69.8%
Adj IY
144%
2
RV
617%
VR
4.34
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
3.0%
LAS
0.40

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.