SimpleFunctions

WTI crude oil settlement price above 69.99 USD/Bbl on Jun 26, 2026

Above $69.99 is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 13 inside Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above.

Price history

36¢ current

13¢
40¢50¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on June 26, 2026 is above 69.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $69.99

Rank

#5 of 13

Leader

Above $65.99 88¢

Range

1¢-88¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXWTI-26JUN2614-T69.99

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

35¢

Ask

36¢

Spread

24h volume

$190

Family rank

#5 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 36¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
35¢517
34¢500
33¢200
31¢2.2K
25¢125
AskSize
36¢33
37¢200
39¢570
43¢1
44¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on June 26, 2026 is above 69.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXWTI-26JUN2614-T69.99

SF Signal
SF Index
20666.38
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

Overround

2.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
Overround
2.7%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.