SimpleFunctions

WTI crude oil settlement price above 69.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026

Above $69.99 is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will the WTI.

Price history

72¢ current

+69¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 3, 2026Aug 15, 2026

Contract brief

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $69.99

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Above $69.99 66¢

Range

4¢-66¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXWTI-26NOV0314-T69.99

Aug 15, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 15, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

78¢

Spread

12¢

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the WTI

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 78¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
66¢1
65¢100
12¢83
11¢147
2¢201
AskSize
78¢100
93¢258
99¢2.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on November 03, 2026 is above ||Price||, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWTI-26NOV0314-T69.99

SF Signal
SF Index
885.50
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

235.0%

IY (No)

885.5%

Adj IY

886%

CRI

2

RV

15578%

VR

25.73

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

235.0%
885.5%
Adj IY
886%
2
RV
15578%
VR
25.73
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
19.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.