WTI crude oil settlement price below 77.00 USD/Bbl on Jul 31, 2026
Below $77.00 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will the WTI crude oil settlement price.
Price history
20¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(September 2026 contract) on July 31, 2026 is below 77.00 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $77.00
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Below $77.00 18¢
Range
1¢-18¢
Family volume
$36K
Identifier
KXWTIW-26JUL3114-T77.00
Jul 28, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$9K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the WTI crude oil settlement price
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$36K
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(September 2026 contract) on July 31, 2026 is below 77.00 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIW-26JUL3114-T77.00
Event family
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$36K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Below $77.00 18¢
Current share
24%
Below $77.00
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-T77.00
$80.00 to $80.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B80.50
$83.00 to $83.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B83.50
$77.00 to $77.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B77.50
$84.00 to $84.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B84.50
$82.00 to $82.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B82.50
$78.00 to $78.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B78.50
$81.00 to $81.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B81.50
$88.00 to $88.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B88.50
$90.00 to $90.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B90.50
$94.00 to $94.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B94.50
$100.00 to $100.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B100.50
$93.00 to $93.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B93.50
$97.00 to $97.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B97.50
$92.00 to $92.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-B92.50
Above $101.99
kalshi · KXWTIW-26JUL3114-T101.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.