The Young and the Restless · KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26
The Young and the Restless is priced at 6¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26.
Price history
6¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If The Young and the Restless wins the award for Outstanding Sound Mixing and Sound Editing for a Live Daytime Program at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
The Young and the Restless
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
The Kelly Clarkson Show 76¢
Range
2¢-76¢
Family volume
$219
Identifier
KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26-THE4
Aug 30, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26
Closes
Oct 31, 2027
Family volume
$219
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Young and the Restless wins the award for Outstanding Sound Mixing and Sound Editing for a Live Daytime Program at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 31, 2027
Identifier
KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26-THE4
Event family
KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$219
Outcomes
5
Highest price
The Kelly Clarkson Show 76¢
Current share
0%
The Kelly Clarkson Show
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26-THE3
Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26-MAC
The Young and the Restless
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26-THE4
The Bold and the Beautiful
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26-THE
The Jennifer Hudson Show
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-SOUNDLIVE26-THE2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.