SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 2, 202654 days left

Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$1.6M volume
$494K liquidity
48247% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

Before 2027 16¢

Ticker

KXLEAVEWALZ-27JAN01-TWAL-26JUL01

Market snapshot

Before July in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2K. In the Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Before July

Family rank

#2 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 2, 2026

24h volume

$2K

Family context

2 outcomes · Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before

Quote range

4¢-16¢

Family leader

Before 2027 16¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXLEAVEWALZ-27JAN01-TWAL-26JUL01. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

4¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 4¢

Kalshi
0¢ spread
BidSize
4¢200
4¢26
3¢72
3¢1.0K
3¢250
AskSize
4¢171
4¢595
4¢1.1K
4¢60
4¢1.4K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXLEAVEWALZ-27JAN01-TWAL-26JUL01

Event family

Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Before 2027 16¢

Current share

52%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

16137.1%
28.0%
Adj IY
8069%
24
LAS
0.00

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