Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 above 30 Billion
Above 30 Billion is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above.
Price history
32¢ current
−18¢Contract brief
If the Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) is above 30 Billion after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 30 Billion
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Above 25 Billion 32¢
Range
8¢-32¢
Family volume
$20
Identifier
KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T30
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$222
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$20
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) is above 30 Billion after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T30
Event family
Will Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above 25 Billion 32¢
Current share
0%
Above 25 Billion
kalshi · KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T25
Above 30 Billion
kalshi · KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T30
Above 35 Billion
kalshi · KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T35
Above 40 Billion
kalshi · KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T40
Above 45 Billion
kalshi · KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T45
Above 50 Billion
kalshi · KXTOKENUST-27JAN01-T50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.