Tommy · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26
Tommy is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26.
Price history
94¢ current
+44¢Contract brief
If Tommy is officially eliminated from Love Island UK: Season 13 Before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tommy
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Tina 91¢
Range
1¢-91¢
Family volume
$18K
Identifier
KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-TOM
Jun 25, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
83¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$532
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Family volume
$18K
Orderbook snapshot
83 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tommy is officially eliminated from Love Island UK: Season 13 Before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-TOM
Event family
KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$18K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tina 91¢
Current share
3%
Tina
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-TIN
Tommy
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-TOM
Priya
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-PRI
Simba
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-SIM
Aidan
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-AID
Sean
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-SEA
Lola
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-LOL
Mica
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-MIC
Kavan
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-KAV
Angelista
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-ANG
Jasmine
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-JAS
Finley
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-FIN
Ellie
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-ELL
Samraj
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-SAMR
Yasmine
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-YAS
Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUN26-LOR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 94% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.