Toronto Argonauts · KXCFLGAME-26JUL25TORBC
Toronto Argonauts is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXCFLGAME-26JUL25TORBC.
Price history
62¢ current
+56¢Contract brief
If the Toronto Argonauts win the Toronto Argonauts vs British Columbia Lions professional CFL football game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Toronto Argonauts
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Toronto Argonauts 62¢
Range
35¢-62¢
Family volume
$68
Identifier
KXCFLGAME-26JUL25TORBC-TOR
Jul 22, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$68
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXCFLGAME-26JUL25TORBC
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$68
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Toronto Argonauts win the Toronto Argonauts vs British Columbia Lions professional CFL football game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXCFLGAME-26JUL25TORBC-TOR
Event family
KXCFLGAME-26JUL25TORBC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$68
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Toronto Argonauts 62¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 62% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.