SimpleFunctions
Resolved market
kalshi
Resolved Sep 12, 2026
Calibration

Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Nov 1, 2026?

This prediction market has closed and is preserved as a settled-market record. Final outcome: YES, with settlement-time price 76.0¢.

Settlement

76.0¢

t-24h price

63.0¢

Calibration error

37.0 bps

Volume

$7.0K

Resolved at

Sep 12, 2026

Identifier

KXUSCANADATARIFFUP-26SEP-NOV01

Archive note

Historical resolution is tracked for calibration, settled-market search, and event-family context. The live trading book is no longer active; adjacent active markets are listed below when the category still has liquidity.

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