SimpleFunctions
Resolved market
kalshi
Resolved Sep 12, 2026
Calibration

Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Oct 1, 2026?

This prediction market has closed and is preserved as a settled-market record. Final outcome: YES, with settlement-time price 89.0¢.

Settlement

89.0¢

t-24h price

57.0¢

Calibration error

43.0 bps

Volume

$11K

Resolved at

Sep 12, 2026

Identifier

KXUSCANADATARIFFUP-26SEP-OCT01

Archive note

Historical resolution is tracked for calibration, settled-market search, and event-family context. The live trading book is no longer active; adjacent active markets are listed below when the category still has liquidity.

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