Tua Tagovailoa · KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ATL
Tua Tagovailoa is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ATL.
Price history
74¢ current
+29¢Contract brief
If Tua Tagovailoa is officially designated as Atlanta's Starting Quarterback for Week 1 of the 2026-2027 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tua Tagovailoa
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Tua Tagovailoa 68¢
Range
1¢-68¢
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ATL-TTAG
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
68¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ATL
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
68 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tua Tagovailoa is officially designated as Atlanta's Starting Quarterback for Week 1 of the 2026-2027 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ATL-TTAG
Event family
KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ATL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Tua Tagovailoa 68¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.