Tyler Reddick · KXESPYS-26BD
Tyler Reddick is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BD.
Price history
3¢ current
−9¢Contract brief
If Tyler Reddick wins Best Driver at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tyler Reddick
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Kimi Antonelli 53¢
Range
1¢-53¢
Family volume
$86
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BD-TYL
Jul 12, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 46m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$194
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BD
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Family volume
$86
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tyler Reddick wins Best Driver at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BD-TYL
Event family
KXESPYS-26BD.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$86
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Kimi Antonelli 53¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.