Above 3B · Will Tyler, The Creator have
Above 3B is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will Tyler, The Creator have.
Price history
94¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Tyler, The Creator has Above 3B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 3B
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Above 2.9B 98¢
Range
90¢-98¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.0B
Jun 23, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$294
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Tyler, The Creator have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tyler, The Creator has Above 3B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.0B
Event family
Will Tyler, The Creator have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 2.9B 98¢
Current share
—
Above 2.9B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-2.9B
Above 3.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.5B
Above 3.3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.3B
Above 3.2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.2B
Above 3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.0B
Above 2.8B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-2.8B
Above 3.8B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.8B
Above 4.1B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-4.1B
Above 3.1B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.1B
Above 3.4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.4B
Above 3.6B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.6B
Above 3.7B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.7B
Above 4.3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-4.3B
Above 3.9B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-3.9B
Above 4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-4.0B
Above 4.2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-TCREATE26DEC31-4.2B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.