SimpleFunctions

Tyler Warren · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27TET10

Tyler Warren is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 69¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27TET10.

Price history

58¢ current

+32¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 16, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Tyler Warren finishes top 10 in scoring among tight ends for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tyler Warren

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Brock Bowers 72¢

Range

13¢-72¢

Family volume

$581

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27TET10-TWARREN84

Aug 27, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

23¢

Ask

92¢

Spread

69¢

Reported volume

$2

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27TET10

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$581

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 92¢

Kalshi
69¢ spread
BidSize
23¢50
22¢5
21¢2
11¢181
8¢100
AskSize
92¢5
93¢5
98¢150
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tyler Warren finishes top 10 in scoring among tight ends for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27TET10-TWARREN84

SF Signal
SF Index
422.78
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

845.6%

IY (No)

75.4%

Adj IY

423%

CRI

3

Overround

6.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

845.6%
75.4%
Adj IY
423%
3
Overround
6.2%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.