Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua · KXFURYJOSHUA-26
Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
76¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua compete in a sanctioned boxing match between Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXFURYJOSHUA-26-YES
Jul 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 87¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua compete in a sanctioned boxing match between Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXFURYJOSHUA-26-YES
Event family
KXFURYJOSHUA-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua 81¢
Current share
100%
Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua
kalshi · KXFURYJOSHUA-26-YES
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 76% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.