UConn stuns Duke with Braylon Mullins’ buzzer-beating 3 · KXESPYS-26BP
UConn stuns Duke with Braylon Mullins’ buzzer-beating 3 is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXESPYS-26BP.
Price history
11¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If UConn stuns Duke with Braylon Mullins’ buzzer-beating 3 wins Best Play at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
UConn stuns Duke with Braylon Mullins’ buzzer-beating 3
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
OG Anunoby’s Tip-In 82¢
Range
1¢-82¢
Family volume
$370
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BP-UCO
Jul 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BP
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Family volume
$370
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If UConn stuns Duke with Braylon Mullins’ buzzer-beating 3 wins Best Play at the the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BP-UCO
Event family
KXESPYS-26BP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$370
Outcomes
6
Highest price
OG Anunoby’s Tip-In 82¢
Current share
0%
OG Anunoby’s Tip-In
kalshi · KXESPYS-26BP-OGA
UConn stuns Duke with Braylon Mullins’ buzzer-beating 3
kalshi · KXESPYS-26BP-UCO
Golden Goal for Gold! (Men's)
kalshi · KXESPYS-26BP-GOLD
Caleb Williams Game Tying TD vs. Rams
kalshi · KXESPYS-26BP-CAL
Golden Goal for Gold! (Women's)
kalshi · KXESPYS-26BP-GOL
Tie
kalshi · KXESPYS-26BP-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.