Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026
Above 4.5% is priced at 31¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above.
Price history
31¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4.5%
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Above 3.5% 55¢
Range
1¢-55¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXULTA-26DECCOMP-4.5
Aug 27, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above
Closes
Apr 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 3, 2027
Identifier
KXULTA-26DECCOMP-4.5
Event family
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 3.5% 55¢
Current share
—
Above 3.5%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-3.5
Above 4%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-4.0
Above 4.5%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-4.5
Above 5%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-5.0
Above 5.5%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-5.5
Above 6%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-6.0
Above 6.5%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-6.5
Above 7%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-7.0
Above 7.5%
kalshi · KXULTA-26DECCOMP-7.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.