Will Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Booster Box on Collectr be above $222.7 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00
Will Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Booster Box on Collectr be above $222.7 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00 is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
52¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If the Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Booster Box on Collectr is above $222.7 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Booster Box on Collectr be above $222.7 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$263
Identifier
KXPOKEMON-26JULPERORDBO-222.7
Jul 13, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$263
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$263
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 59¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Booster Box on Collectr is above $222.7 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXPOKEMON-26JULPERORDBO-222.7
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$263
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Booster Box on Collectr be above $222.7 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00 52¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 52% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.