U.S. Dollar Index · KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31
U.S. Dollar Index is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31.
Price history
29¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
If U.S. Dollar Index performs above Gold during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
U.S. Dollar Index
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Gold 53¢
Range
20¢-53¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31-DXY
Jul 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
24¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If U.S. Dollar Index performs above Gold during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31-DXY
Event family
KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Gold 53¢
Current share
—
Gold
kalshi · KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31-XAU
U.S. Dollar Index
kalshi · KXDXYVSGOLD-26DEC31-DXY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.