USA score at least 12 goals in the full tournament of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
12+ goals is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 74¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will USA score at least.
Price history
1¢ current
−28¢Contract brief
If USA records at least 12 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
12+ goals
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
14+ goals 69¢
Range
1¢-69¢
Family volume
$173
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26USA-12
Jun 21, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
74¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · Will USA score at least
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$173
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If USA records at least 12 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26USA-12
Event family
Will USA score at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$173
Outcomes
4
Highest price
14+ goals 69¢
Current share
6%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.