Will USC go undefeated at home in the 2026 college football regular season
Will USC go undefeated at home in the 2026 college football regular season is priced at 18¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
18¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If the USC college football team goes undefeated in home games (excluding neutral site games) in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will USC go undefeated at home in the 2026 college football regular season
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27-USC
Sep 15, 2026, 11:24 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
20¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the USC college football team goes undefeated in home games (excluding neutral site games) in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27-USC
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will USC go undefeated at home in the 2026 college football regular season 18¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.