Will Utah win at least 12 games this season
Will Utah win at least 12 games this season is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
19¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If the Utah college football team has at least 12 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Utah win at least 12 games this season
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$617
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26UTAH-12
Oct 7, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 14h ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$617
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$617
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Utah college football team has at least 12 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26UTAH-12
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$617
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Utah win at least 12 games this season 19¢
Current share
100%
Will Utah win at least 12 games this season
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26UTAH-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.